Economics

Trying to make sense of Mr. Trump’s tweet on Brazil and Argentina

December 6, 2019 | Otaviano Canuto - Principal, Center for Macroeconomics and Development
We started the week with President Trump accusing, via Twitter, Brazil and Argentina of currency manipulation and unfair competition with farmers in his country. In response, he would reestablish full tariffs on steel and aluminum exported from both countries to the US market.

The US-China Trade War Is Accelerating China’s Rebalancing

November 11, 2019 | Otaviano Canuto - Principal, Center for Macroeconomics and Development

The IMF, Argentina and Ecuador: Have Lessons Been Learned?

November 7, 2019 | Otaviano Canuto - Principal, Center for Macroeconomics and Development

Turning Promises into Reality – The Business Case for Gender Equality in Achieving the SDGs

October 11, 2019 | Otaviano Canuto - Principal, Center for Macroeconomics and Development
As world leaders gathered this month for high-level talks at the 74th United Nations General Assembly, pressing global issues were at the forefront of discussions, including progress toward the 2030 Agenda and the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).

Latin America Is Not Benefiting from the U.S.-China Trade War

September 23, 2019 | Otaviano Canuto - Principal, Center for Macroeconomics and Development
Despite some short-term benefits, trade deviation to the region shouldn’t be expected to last.

The IMF needs a bridge-builder at the helm – that’s what it looks set to get

September 20, 2019 | Otaviano Canuto - Principal, Center for Macroeconomics and Development
If appointed, the Bulgarian-born economist Kristalina Georgieva will be the first managing director of the IMF to come from Eastern Europe.

‘Growth-Yield Curve-Trade-Market’: Financial Roulette

September 2, 2019 | Satyendra Nayak - Consultant-Spectrafin, Author, Speaker
US stock market crash by 3% with Dow plunging down by 800 points is one of the worst falls in recent years. News of economy’s growth momentum, Fed moves, market perception and reaction, and tussle on trade tariffs have all gone to cloud the US economic environment and sentiment with a considerable degree of uncertainty and suspense.

Fed Monetary Policy, Inverted Yield Curve and Outlook for US and Global Economies

August 26, 2019 | Otaviano Canuto - Principal, Center for Macroeconomics and Development
Since the Fed’s July meeting, when the Fed Funds Rate had a 0.25% cut, fears about the impact of the US-China trade war on the global economy have escalated. The US yield curve inversion received much attention as a harbinger of a slowdown in the global and US economic outlooks. We approach here whether lights on next monetary policy events can be obtained from reading the minutes of the Fed’s meeting – and of the July meeting of the ECB governing council – released this week.

Argentina’s half-baked adjustment has not worked

August 16, 2019 | Otaviano Canuto - Principal, Center for Macroeconomics and Development

Brazil must hold to structural reforms while undergoing slow economic recovery

August 14, 2019 | Otaviano Canuto - Principal, Center for Macroeconomics and Development
Brazil's economic recovery after the deep 2015-16 recession has been the slowest on record, with GDP per capita last year remaining more than 9% below its pre-crisis peak.