June 11, 2019 | Otaviano Canuto - Principal, Center for Macroeconomics and Development
Friday night, US President Donald Trump announced by Twitter that he would suspend the implementation of tariffs on Mexican imports, which would start with 5% on Monday, June 10, to reach 25% in October.
June 5, 2019 | Otaviano Canuto - Principal, Center for Macroeconomics and Development
Multilateral Development Banks (MDBs) have two financing windows, with different terms, dedicated to low- and middle-income countries. Countries are presumed to cross those windows as their income per capita rises, with middle-income countries (MICs) eventually “graduating” to a non-client status once they reach some criteria.
May 4, 2019 | Otaviano Canuto - Principal, Center for Macroeconomics and Development
The “middle-income trap” has become a broad designation trying to capture the many cases of developing countries that succeeded in evolving from low-to middle-levels of per capita income, but then appeared to stall, losing momentum along the route toward the higher income levels of advanced economies.
April 12, 2019 | Otaviano Canuto - Principal, Center for Macroeconomics and Development
Next week, the 2019 Spring Meeting of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank will take place in Washington, in this 75th year since the birth of the two institutions. Christine Lagarde, the IMF's managing director, speaking on Tuesday at the US Chamber of Commerce, offered an appetizer about the macroeconomic projections to be released.
April 5, 2019 | Otaviano Canuto - Principal, Center for Macroeconomics and Development
In their 75 years of existence, the twin institutions born at the Bretton Woods Conference have undergone adaptation and transformation in response to the evolution of the world economy and the challenges it has posed to them.
March 4, 2019 | Otaviano Canuto - Principal, Center for Macroeconomics and Development
China’s economic growth has been in a downslide trend since 2011, while its economic structure has gradually rebalanced toward lower dependence on investments and current-account surpluses. Steadiness in that trajectory has been accompanied by rising levels of domestic private debt, as well as slow progress in rebalancing private and public sector roles. As the ongoing trade war with the US continues to unfold, it remains unclear at which growth pace China’s rebalancing will tend to settle.